The Cinderella Bowls: Which Mountain West Teams Can Pull Off Surprise Wins?

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Post on Feb 08, 2025

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The Cinderella Bowls: Which Mountain West Teams Can Pull Off Surprise Wins?

The college football postseason is upon us, and while the Power Five conferences hog the spotlight, the Mountain West Conference (MW) always has the potential to produce a Cinderella story. Several teams from the MW are headed to bowl games this year, and some possess the talent and potential to pull off significant upsets. But which teams have the best chance of shocking the world and emerging victorious? Let's dive in.

Assessing the Contenders: Strength, Weaknesses, and Matchups

Predicting bowl game outcomes is notoriously difficult, but by analyzing team strengths, weaknesses, and their specific opponents, we can identify the most likely candidates for a Cinderella triumph.

1. Fresno State Bulldogs: A Consistent Threat

Fresno State consistently ranks among the top teams in the Mountain West. Their success often hinges on their running game and a strong defense. If their quarterback play is solid and they can limit turnovers, they have a realistic shot at a bowl victory. The key will be facing a team whose style of play doesn't exploit Fresno State's potential weaknesses. Look for their overall team discipline and execution to be the deciding factors.

2. Boise State Broncos: The Perennial Powerhouse (with caveats)

Boise State is a name synonymous with Mountain West football. Their history speaks for itself, but this year has been a bit more inconsistent. Their success will depend on their ability to control the line of scrimmage and limit big plays against a potentially stronger opponent. A strong passing game will be essential against defenses that can shut down their running attack. If they can find their rhythm and play with the intensity we expect from Boise State, an upset is certainly within reach.

3. San Diego State Aztecs: Defensive Prowess is Key

The Aztecs' strength lies in their typically stifling defense. If they can consistently force turnovers and limit their opponent's scoring opportunities, they have a chance. However, their success depends on avoiding offensive struggles; a strong offensive showing will be necessary to keep pace with higher-ranked opponents. Their bowl game success hinges on their ability to control the clock and grind out a victory.

Beyond the Top Three: Dark Horse Candidates

While Fresno State, Boise State, and San Diego State have the most obvious paths to victory, other Mountain West teams shouldn't be completely counted out. Teams with explosive offenses or surprisingly strong defenses might find themselves in a position to capitalize on favorable matchups. Look for teams that can exploit specific weaknesses in their opponents' game plans.

The Importance of Matchups and Momentum

Bowl game success isn't solely about talent; it's about matchups. A team with a less talented roster can still win if they draw an opponent whose strengths don't match their weaknesses. Further, momentum plays a crucial role. A team entering the bowl game on a winning streak will have a significant psychological advantage.

Conclusion: Cinderella Stories are Possible

The Mountain West is a conference capable of producing unexpected results. While winning a bowl game against a Power Five team is a significant challenge, it's not impossible. With the right combination of talent, strategy, and a little bit of luck, one of these Mountain West teams could indeed make this year's bowl season truly memorable by pulling off a stunning upset. Keep your eyes peeled for these teams; they might just surprise you.